Heat Forecast - Be Ready

Jun 4, 2020

Heat Forecast - Be Ready

Jun 4, 2020

From Fox Weather by way of CA Avocado Commission, hot weather is forecast for mid- to late- June

This is a time to make sure that trees are adequately hydrated prior to the heat spell. Once trees start losing water through transpiration, it's hard for them to absorb water and heat stress and sunburn damage can result. The trees need to be fully water, so that they can continue to transpire to cool themselves during the heat spells.

READ MORE:

https://ucanr.edu/blogs/blogcore/postdetail.cfm?postnum=29992

https://ucanr.edu/blogs/blogcore/postdetail.cfm?postnum=29933

https://ucanr.edu/blogs/blogcore/postdetail.cfm?postnum=27914

 

And don't forget people in the field:

  • Be sure shade is available on demand when the temperature is below 80 degrees F, shade must be provided at all times when the temperature exceeds 80 degrees F, as close as practicable to where employees are working;
  • Shade must be provided to all employees on a rest or meal break,except those who choose to take a meal break elsewhere (editor's note: provision of shade as usual may not be consistent with social distancing recommended by various COVID-19 guidance; ag employers implementing heat illness shade requirements can ensure adequate shade consistent with social distancing requirements by staggering meal and rest breaks, but additional shade may be necessary);
  • Fresh, pure, and suitably cool water must be made available in sufficient quantities (replenishment is permissible) to allow each employee to drink one quart per hour;
  • Water is to be provided as close as practicable to location of work;
  • Employees must be trained about heat illness and the Cal/OSHA Heat Illness Prevention (HIP) Standard before they work in conditions where they might be exposed to heat;
  • Supervisors must be additionally trained in HIP compliance procedures, emergency responses, and ensuring effective communication to facilitate emergency response.
  • A written copy of your HIP program in English and the language understood by the majority of the employees and be available to employees and Cal/OSHA inspectors on request — this is the most frequently-cited part of the HIP standard — and probably the most easily-avoided HIP citation!
  • Remember: When temperatures exceed 95 degrees, employers must implement “high heat” procedures, including a mandatory 10 minute break every two hours (meal and rest periods can serve as these breaks, but if employees work beyond eight hours or waive meal or rest periods, you must still ensure the mandatory rest break occurs).

Cal/OSHA Heat Illness Prevention Guidelines

 

30-Day Weather Outlook for May 31, 2020, to June 22, 2020

Summary- The prevailing pattern is a high pressure ridge from N California westsouthwest or southwestward. Cold fronts coming S through California will tend to extend southwestward from southcentral-S California to the area SW – W of S California.

A long-lived pattern of troughing or low pressure will continue from southwest of Central California to about 25N then extend west toward Hawaii.

The MJO is showing a slow increase in activity over the next two weeks.

CFSDailyAI and CFSv2 suggest some rains primarily in northern California and the Sierras, and into Siskiyou Mountains and southern Oregon at times.

It is early for monsoonal showers and thunderstorms (TSTMS). However, the presence of upper lows may begin to bring tropical moisture northward into SOCAL and the Sierras, despite the lack of a usual summer monsoonal pattern.

Potential Dates of Precipitation (from Fox Weather's CFSDAILYAI system):

Salinas Valley-San Luis Obispo Co- S SierraNV:

Salinas Valley Showers: 6/2-3. Hot spells 6/4, 6/8-9, 6/11-12, 6/14-17, 6/22-27.

San Luis Ob/Edna: Hot spells 6/6, 6/9, 6/12, 6/15-17, 6/20-27th, 7/1.

Southern California Citrus/Avocado Area, San Luis Obispo Co to San Diego Co:

Southern California Citrus/Avocado Area: May 31-June 15.

Santa Barbara, Ventura to San Diego Co: No rainfall of consequence.

Hot spells:

Santa Barbara Co: 6/6, 6/12. 6/16-17th, 6/22-26th.  

Ventura Co: Hot 6/16-17th, 6/22-26th. 

San Diego/Orange: Hot 6/16-17, 6/22-26.

Summary – June 15 – July 15… In Northern and Central California, Hottest: 6/14-17, 6/22,27, 7/1-2.

San Luis Obispo Co... Hottest periods 6/15-17, 6/22-27.

Southern California… Shallow marine layer and hot inland. Hottest: 6/16-17, 6/22-26, 7/1-3.

Seasonal Outlook July 15 – August 31... Northern and Central California overall pattern…. Near normal rainfall (minimal). Above normal temperatures occur during all of July and all of August. Usual thunderstorms (TSTMS) in the central and N Sierra and Plateau. 

Southern California: San Luis Obispo Co, Santa Barbara Co, and Ventura to San Diego Counties east through Los Angeles to San Bernardino, Riverside and Imperial Counties…. Our latest guidance is suggesting a hot period in N and Northcentral California during mid-July, but near normal behavior of the marine layer at the SOCAL coast and valley areas. Although cloud amounts should be about normal, temperatures will drift above normal due to warmer sea surface off SOCAL and Baja. Weak troughs and upper lows will intermittently develop and deepen the marine layer as is normal for summer.

Looking further ahead into Sept – Nov, Dry and persistently warmer than normal conditions develop during the late Sept through Nov Santa Ana season.

Alan Fox...Fox Weather, LLC
Copyright © 2020, Fox Weather, LLC, Used by permission.


By Ben Faber
Author - Advisor

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